Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA
NHC Ensemble Model Guidance for Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA valid as of 0600 UTC 04 July 2021.
Tropical Cyclone Model Plots, (c) 2019 Clark Evans.
http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/
E-mail: evans36 \at/ uwm \dot/ edu.

Model: AP01

AP01 Forecast Hour 0
Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA: 0600 UTC 04 July 2021 Model Cycle
17.9 N, 75.3 W
Maximum Sustained Wind: 43 kt
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1005 hPa

AP01 Forecast Hour 6
Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA: 0600 UTC 04 July 2021 Model Cycle
18.7 N, 76.2 W
Maximum Sustained Wind: 38 kt
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1009 hPa

AP01 Forecast Hour 12
Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA: 0600 UTC 04 July 2021 Model Cycle
20.2 N, 77.3 W
Maximum Sustained Wind: 27 kt
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1010 hPa

25 N, 82.8 W

28 N, 83.7 W

37 N, 78.2 W

AP01 Track

Model: AP02

26.6 N, 83 W

28.3 N, 83 W

30.2 N, 83 W

AP02 Track

Model: AP03

AP03 Track

37 N, 78 W

22 N, 79 W

29 N, 84 W