Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA
NHC Ensemble Model Guidance for Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA valid as of 1200 UTC 03 July 2021.
Tropical Cyclone Model Plots, (c) 2019 Clark Evans.
http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/
E-mail: evans36 \at/ uwm \dot/ edu.

Model: AP01

AP01 Forecast Hour 0
Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA: 1200 UTC 03 July 2021 Model Cycle
16.4 N, 70.4 W
Maximum Sustained Wind: 53 kt
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1002 hPa

AP01 Forecast Hour 6
Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA: 1200 UTC 03 July 2021 Model Cycle
16.9 N, 72.4 W
Maximum Sustained Wind: 46 kt
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1004 hPa

AP01 Forecast Hour 12
Atlantic Tropical Storm ELSA: 1200 UTC 03 July 2021 Model Cycle
17.1 N, 73.9 W
Maximum Sustained Wind: 42 kt
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1006 hPa

20 N, 77.9 W

20.2 N, 81 W

AP01 Track

Model: AP02

AP02 Track

Model: AP03

19 N, 76.8 W

19.6 N, 78 W

20.3 N, 79 W

21 N, 80.2 W

AP03 Track

17 N, 73 W

21 N, 83 W

27 N, 86 W